Alphabet Q1 2026: The Thesis Has Played Out
Two years of arguing Google would adapt to AI. Q1 2026 settled the debate. The harder question now is whether 32x forward earnings is a price worth paying.
Paycom Q1 2026: From Growth Story to Buyback Story
Paycom retired 15% of its float in 90 days at an average price of $127, draining more than half its cash balance and taking on $675 million of debt to…
Zuck #trustmebro
Is Zuck going metaverse-mode with AI?
How Incentives Shape Your Broccoli (And Your Portfolio)
A baby, a mini-tree, and a Charlie Munger lesson hiding in the produce aisle.
Netflix Q1 2026: Discipline Tested, Discipline Held
So this is the quarter Netflix reached into Warner Bros’ cookie jar and pulled out $2.8 billion in termination fees, after Ellison junior decided he wanted it more. Smart move,…
ServiceNow Deep Dive, Part 2: AI, Financials, and What I’m Doing
Part 1 covered what ServiceNow does and why customers don’t leave. Part 2 tackles the harder question: does AI strengthen the moat or erode it? I walk through the AI…
The Market Doesn’t Care About Your Forecast
If I told you there are two active wars running right now and oil spiked above $100 a barrel, what would you guess the market has done? Most people would…
ServiceNow Deep Dive, Part 1: Understanding the Business
ServiceNow has been cut in half. But this is a company growing revenue at 22% annually with a 98% renewal rate and accelerating customer expansion. Part 1 dissects what ServiceNow…
Lululemon: Full Price or Bust (Q4 FY2025 Update)
We went from aspiring to return to double-digit growth… to merely trying to sell product at full price. Q4 beat expectations, but the beat was mechanical. North America is still…
Sea Limited Q4 2025 – Closing the Books on 2025
Sea closed 2025 with $22.9 billion in full-year revenue, up 36.4% year-on-year. Full-year net income reached $1.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA hit $3.4 billion. All three businesses exceeded the growth…
Trade Desk Q4 2025: The Excuses Doesn’t Quite Add Up
Trade Desk reported Q4 2025 revenue growth of 14%, guided Q1 2026 to just 10%, and lost another CFO in five months. Jeff Green blamed CPG and auto weakness, but…
Where I’m Deploying Capital Right Now
We are in a weird moment in the stock market. The S&P 500 is just 1% away from its all-time highs. But pockets of quality businesses are getting absolutely decimated,…