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The Trade Desk: Navigating Advertising’s New Complexity

Thomas Chua by Thomas Chua
April 25, 2025
in Investing
Reading Time: 21 mins read

Our lives today are increasingly better, but also getting increasingly complex.

In the 1990s, advertising was simple. Television with a handful of major networks, radio, print, and billboards dominated the landscape. A key goal of marketing was to raise mind share amongst consumers—that meant advertising where eyeballs were found. And we know that consumers rarely buy the first time they see an ad. If the ad is done well, they’ll sit on it, ruminate on it, talk to their friends and colleagues about it, and then forget about it… until they see another ad, and another ad, and another ad to keep reminding them about the product.

Life was relatively simpler for advertising agencies then. To reach the same consumer over and over again, you simply had to blast the ad during the same shows.

Take American Express during the 1990s (LINK). They advertised heavily on NBC’s hugely popular Seinfeld show as part of a deliberate strategy to reshape the perception that Amex was “the elitist province of older, wealthy consumers.” Traditionally, AmEx was seen as an exclusive card for affluent, older consumers, often associated with upscale travel and luxury purchases. However, the company wanted to counter this perception and encourage more everyday usage among a wider, younger audience, who tend to remain loyal to their first credit card brand. But they had to do this without alienating their existing prestigious customer base.

Seinfeld was particularly valuable because his “ironic, urban-inflected sensibility attracted a devoted following among young consumers,” yet as his sitcom became more popular, he maintained appeal across demographic divisions. His persona as “that of an intelligent yet accessible and self-effacing everyman” made him an ideal spokesperson who could help Amex broaden its market while maintaining its existing cardholders.

Of course, if you’re a generic consumer brand like Coca-Cola with deep pockets, then you’d be everywhere—major sporting events commercial breaks, billboards, radio, TV. Regardless, the key was to have the product appear in front of your targeted consumer repeatedly, and there were only a handful of major platforms they needed to work with.

Today’s Fragmented Advertising Landscape

Today, an advertising agency managing a campaign faces a dilemma. Their target audience is scattered across dozens of platforms including TikTok, YouTube, streaming services, gaming platforms, and niche social networks. They struggle to maintain consistent reach and frequency across channels.

This fragmentation isn’t just about audience dispersion—it’s increasingly complicated by the imminent disappearance of third-party cookies, which advertisers have relied on for decades to track and target consumers. Without identifiers to connect user behavior across sites, the digital advertising world faces a crisis in targeting effectiveness.

Without a programmatic solution like The Trade Desk, agencies would need to negotiate, manage, and optimize campaigns separately across 15+ platforms, creating enormous cost inefficiencies. Each platform would require specialized teams, separate contracts, different measurement standards, and siloed reporting—effectively multiplying agency overhead while reducing campaign effectiveness.

The economic burden of this approach is simply unsustainable for most advertisers.

What’s more, many digital advertising platforms operate as “walled gardens”—they function as both the media seller and the auction facilitator, creating inherent conflicts of interest and opacity in pricing. Facebook, Google, and Amazon all sell their own inventory through their own platforms, keeping the data within their ecosystems and making it difficult for advertisers to understand true performance or make cross-platform comparisons.

The Trade Desk Solution

The Trade Desk offers a crucial alternative—a truly independent platform that provides transparent pricing and visibility into campaign performance. This independence has become increasingly valuable as advertisers seek alternatives to platforms that control both the inventory and the means to buy it.

The platform automates campaigns, providing better price discovery on an impression-by-impression basis, allowing advertisers to bid on and purchase the advertising inventory they value most. More importantly, The Trade Desk’s sophisticated measurement capabilities help solve the attribution puzzle across this fragmented landscape, connecting ad exposure to actual business outcomes rather than just clicks or impressions.

The Trade Desk’s platform allows agencies to execute integrated campaigns across multiple formats (CTV, display, audio, digital-out-of-home) on various devices, enabling them to follow consumers across their digital journey. Their Unified ID 2.0 initiative directly addresses the identity challenge, offering a privacy-conscious alternative to cookies that maintains targeting effectiveness while respecting consumer privacy preferences.

Perhaps most importantly, The Trade Desk’s AI capabilities (Koa) automatically optimize campaigns toward the most valuable impressions based on real-time performance data. This isn’t just about automating what humans previously did—it’s about making thousands of micro-decisions per second that human traders simply couldn’t process, continuously improving campaign performance in ways that would be impossible with manual management.

Agencies seek to offer capabilities across all media channels and devices, enabling advertisers to manage highly effective campaigns where data from each channel informs decisions in other channels. The Trade Desk allows them to centralize this fragmented landscape into one manageable interface—transforming what would be an impossible complexity into a strategic advantage for modern marketers.

Understanding the Advertising Supply Chain

The digital advertising ecosystem consists of various players that provide inventory—the ad spaces that advertisers bid on through platforms like The Trade Desk. Let’s look at how this complex supply chain works and why it matters to advertisers.

The Diverse Landscape of Ad Inventory

Direct Publishers create content and sell advertising space on their owned properties. When you see an ad on the New York Times website, that space was likely sold either through their direct sales team or programmatically via platforms like The Trade Desk. Major content creators—from news organizations like CNN and WSJ to streaming services like Hulu and Paramount+, music platforms like Spotify, gaming companies, and app developers—all generate valuable ad inventory that reaches specific audience segments.

Ad Exchanges serve as the digital marketplaces where buying and selling happens in real-time. When you visit Weather.com, in milliseconds the ad space becomes available on exchanges like Google Ad Manager. The Trade Desk evaluates these opportunities against advertiser parameters and competes in automated auctions to win the right to display their clients’ ads. These exchanges (including Xandr, OpenX, PubMatic, and Magnite) process billions of transactions daily.

Supply-Side Platforms (SSPs) help content owners maximize their advertising revenue. NBCUniversal, for instance, uses FreeWheel to manage ad inventory across their streaming properties. These specialized technologies help publishers decide whether to sell ad space directly or make it available programmatically, and create connections to demand sources including The Trade Desk. Other major SSPs include Magnite, SpotX, Index Exchange, and Smart AdServer.

Connected TV Platforms represent the fastest-growing segment of digital advertising. When watching content on Roku, Samsung TV, Amazon Fire TV, or smart TVs from Vizio or LG, ad breaks contain inventory that these platforms make available to The Trade Desk and other buyers. This migration from traditional TV to streaming represents a massive shift of advertising dollars into programmatic channels.

Digital Out-of-Home Networks extend programmatic advertising beyond screens into physical spaces. The billboards you see in shopping malls and alongside highways are increasingly sold through programmatic platforms. Companies like Clear Channel Outdoor and JCDecaux now make their digital signage available through platforms that connect to The Trade Desk, bringing the same targeting precision from online to offline environments.

The Fragmentation Challenge

This diverse supply landscape creates both opportunity and complexity. Consumers distribute their attention across countless platforms—from Spotify to TikTok to streaming services—and advertisers must follow them with cohesive messaging. Managing campaigns across this fragmented ecosystem without a unifying platform would be virtually impossible for most advertisers.

This is precisely where The Trade Desk creates value: by serving as the central command center that connects advertisers to this vast and complex supply chain, allowing them to reach their target audiences regardless of where their attention happens to be at any moment.

What Exactly is The Trade Desk?

The Trade Desk is a Demand-Side Platform (DSP)—a technology platform that allows advertisers and agencies to purchase digital advertising inventory across multiple sources through automated bidding systems. Think of it as the “buyer’s control center” in the digital advertising world.

The Trade Desk serves as the central technology that connects buyers (advertisers and agencies) with sellers (publishers and inventory suppliers).

The Trade Desk’s Critical Role in the Advertising Ecosystem

1. Buy-Side Advocate with Full Transparency

The Trade Desk operates exclusively as a demand-side platform (DSP) representing advertisers’ interests. Unlike competitors who serve both sides of the market, The Trade Desk avoids inherent conflicts of interest by focusing solely on buyers, who control the advertising budgets. In a market where advertising inventory supply exceeds demand, this positioning gives them a strategic advantage.

Their commitment to transparency sets them apart in an industry often criticized for opacity. The platform clearly shows clients their spend on advertising inventory, value-added services, data, platform fees, and detailed performance metrics. This transparency enables agencies to demonstrate ROI to clients and optimize spending across channels.

2. Open Internet Scale and Independence

The Trade Desk provides advertisers access to the “open internet”—the vast digital ecosystem outside closed platforms like Google, Facebook, and Amazon. This independence allows advertisers to:

  • Maintain ownership of valuable first-party data
  • Apply custom targeting algorithms and business rules
  • Achieve greater transparency into media costs and performance
  • Avoid being locked into proprietary ecosystems

The company’s integrations with over 220 inventory suppliers and 350 data providers create an independent, enterprise-grade alternative to walled gardens.

3. CTV Leadership and Market Transformation

The Trade Desk has strategically positioned itself as a leader in Connected TV advertising, which represents a massive growth opportunity. In Q4 2024, Jeff Green stated that the advertising industry is approximately $1 trillion and television remains the largest category of advertising spend. The company believes strongly that the future of television is CTV. The demand for CTV inventory has been a significant driver of growth for the platform.

This strategic focus is unlocking the television advertising market for programmatic buying—arguably the largest growth opportunity in digital advertising. The company continues to invest heavily in technology, sales, and support staff specifically for their CTV growth initiatives.

4. Data-Driven Decisioning and Efficiency

The Trade Desk’s platform was built on the principle that data would drive advertising’s future. Their foundational approach was building a data-management platform first, before developing their ad-buying technology.

This data-centric approach enables:

  • Processing billions of ad impression opportunities in milliseconds
  • Incorporating both third-party and advertisers’ proprietary first-party data
  • Intelligent decisioning that optimizes campaign performance
  • Algorithmic automation that reduces manual work while improving results

5. Omnichannel Orchestration

The platform enables seamless campaign management across all digital channels. The Trade Desk believes offering clients capabilities across all media channels and devices enables advertisers to manage highly effective omnichannel campaigns, where data from each channel can inform decisions in other channels.

This integration allows advertisers to create coordinated customer journeys across CTV, display, audio, mobile, and other channels, rather than managing each in isolation.

6. Enterprise-Grade Customization

The Trade Desk offers sophisticated customization capabilities for advanced advertising operations. Their open platform approach enables advertising agency and service provider clients to provide differentiated offerings to their clients, leading to long-term relationships and increased use of the platform.

This flexibility, enabled through APIs and custom integrations, allows agencies to build proprietary solutions on top of The Trade Desk’s infrastructure, creating competitive differentiation for themselves in the market.

This comprehensive platform approach has positioned The Trade Desk as a critical infrastructure provider in the evolving digital advertising ecosystem, particularly as media continues to fragment and traditional television shifts to streaming environments.

How Does The Trade Desk Make Money?

The Trade Desk certainly plays a critical role in today’s digital landscape, outside of the Walled Gardens. So how do they make money from the value proposition they provide?

Core Revenue Model

The Trade Desk operates on a platform fee model rather than an arbitrage model. They generate revenue by charging clients a platform fee generally based on a percentage of total platform spend and from providing value-added services and data to support advertising campaigns.

Understanding the Platform Fee vs. Arbitrage Model Distinction

Platform Fee Model: The Trade Desk charges a transparent percentage-based technology fee on the advertising spend that flows through their platform. Clients see exactly what they’re paying for media and what they’re paying to The Trade Desk as a service fee.

Arbitrage Model: Many competitors use an arbitrage approach where they buy advertising inventory at one price (e.g., $7 CPM) and resell it to advertisers at a markup (e.g., $10 CPM), pocketing the difference. In this model, advertisers typically don’t know the actual cost of the media they’re purchasing.

The Trade Desk explicitly rejects the arbitrage approach, as stated in their 10-K:

“To further align our interests with those of our clients, we do not buy advertising inventory in order to resell it to our clients for a profit. Instead, we provide our clients with a platform that allows them to manage their omnichannel advertising campaigns.”

Instead, they provide a platform that allows clients to manage their omnichannel advertising campaigns directly.

Key Components of The Trade Desk’s Business Model

1. Transparent Platform Fee Structure

The Trade Desk charges advertisers a percentage-based fee on the total advertising spend that flows through their platform. This percentage fee (often called their “take rate”) represents their primary revenue stream. This model was deliberately chosen to create transparency and trust in an industry historically plagued by hidden markups and opaque pricing.

This transparency has become increasingly important as advertisers demand greater visibility into their advertising investments.

2. Value-Added Services and Data

Beyond the core platform fee, The Trade Desk generates additional revenue from:

  • Fees for access to specialized data sets
  • Premium targeting capabilities
  • Advanced measurement and reporting tools
  • Additional platform features and functionalities

This tiered approach allows The Trade Desk to capture more value from sophisticated clients while maintaining competitive pricing for core functionality. It also creates multiple growth vectors beyond simply increasing the base platform fee, allowing them to expand revenue through innovation rather than just price increases. As advertising becomes increasingly data-driven, these high-margin services represent a growing portion of their value proposition to clients.

3. Contractual Relationship Structure

Rather than operating on a campaign-by-campaign basis, The Trade Desk establishes ongoing relationships with clients. They derive substantially all of their revenue from ongoing Master Service Agreements (MSAs) with clients, rather than episodic insertion orders.

This relationship-based approach creates business stability and encourages long-term platform adoption. By focusing on enduring partnerships rather than transactional deals, The Trade Desk reduces client acquisition costs, builds deeper integration with client workflows, and creates predictable revenue patterns. This model also encourages clients to consolidate more of their spend on a single platform, increasing The Trade Desk’s share of wallet over time, as evidenced by their remarkable client retention rate of over 95% for eleven consecutive years.

Business Model Advantages in the Advertising Ecosystem

The Trade Desk deliberately architected this business model to address specific frictions in the digital advertising market:

Aligned Incentives: In an industry often criticized for conflicts of interest, The Trade Desk’s transparent fee structure creates fundamental alignment with advertisers’ goals. Since they don’t profit from the spread between what they pay for media and what they charge clients, The Trade Desk has incentives to deliver the most effective, efficient campaigns possible—building trust with sophisticated clients who control large advertising budgets.

Predictable Revenue: The MSA structure creates more stable relationships compared to campaign-based models, allowing for better business forecasting and investment planning. This predictability is particularly valuable in the historically volatile advertising industry, enabling The Trade Desk to make long-term investments in technology while maintaining financial stability.

Scalability: The platform approach allows The Trade Desk to scale revenue without proportionally scaling costs, leading to improving margins as they grow. This economic model supports significant investment in technology and product development while maintaining profitability—a crucial advantage as they compete against larger technology companies.

Network Effects: As more advertisers use the platform, The Trade Desk gains more data and insights, which improves performance for all users. This creates a virtuous cycle where increased adoption leads to better performance, which attracts more adoption. Their data-first architecture was specifically designed to capitalize on these network effects, creating a moat against competitors.

Buy-Side Focus: By exclusively representing advertiser interests, The Trade Desk has positioned itself as the trusted partner for agencies and brands spending billions in digital media. This focused approach resonates with sophisticated clients wary of platforms that serve both sides of the market, where inherent conflicts can arise.

Technical Reliability: According to a recent InPractise interview with a director at a TV advertising agency (LINK), The Trade Desk has built a reputation for exceptional stability: 

“I’ve never seen The Trade Desk breakdown or experience significant technical issues. It’s very reliable, which is crucial for large enterprises spending millions of dollars.” 

This reliability creates substantial switching costs for agencies managing large campaigns.

Administrative Efficiency: The same industry expert notes that: 

“The Trade Desk offers the ability to include third-party ad tech charges in a single invoice, creating significant administrative efficiency for agencies.” 

This consolidated billing reduces paperwork and payment complexity, further cementing agency relationships.

The Trade Desk’s transparent platform fee model, combined with their buy-side focus, has proven highly effective in the programmatic advertising market, allowing them to capture significant market share while maintaining strong client relationships. This strategic positioning has been particularly effective as the industry shifts toward greater transparency, data privacy, and connected TV—all areas where The Trade Desk’s business model offers inherent advantages.

The Trade Desk in Simple Terms

If this sounds too complex, think of The Trade Desk as a control center where advertisers can specify exactly who they want to reach (e.g., “women 25-34 interested in fitness who recently browsed athletic shoes”), where they want to reach them (e.g., streaming TV, podcasts, websites), how much they’re willing to pay, and what message they want to deliver. The platform then automatically finds and purchases those advertising opportunities across the internet in real-time.

A sports apparel brand launching a new running shoe can use the platform to:

  • Target fitness enthusiasts across streaming TV, fitness apps, and relevant websites
  • Show different ad formats (video on TV, audio on podcasts, display ads on websites)
  • Set different bids based on how valuable each impression is to them
  • Automatically adjust spending to channels that perform best

Now, let’s take a look at some of Trade Desk’s key product features to understand what makes them stand out.

Key Products and Features: The Trade Desk’s Competitive Advantages

The Trade Desk’s product suite represents strategic assets that drive the company’s revenue growth, client retention, and competitive positioning. Analysis of their key products reveals how the company has built sustainable differentiation in the highly competitive ad tech market.

1. Bid-Factor-Based Architecture

The Trade Desk’s proprietary bidding system serves as their core technological differentiator. This system enables unprecedented granularity in programmatic bidding decisions, allowing advertisers to value impressions based on multiple variables simultaneously.

Example: When a consumer watches a streaming show, in milliseconds, TTD’s platform evaluates whether showing an ad to this specific viewer aligns with an advertiser’s goals, determines how much to bid for that ad slot, and if successful, displays the advertisement – all automatically.

The platform’s ability to “rapidly create billions of different bid permutations with only a few clicks” drives higher campaign performance metrics for clients while maintaining efficient budget allocation. This performance advantage has been instrumental in maintaining the company’s 95%+ retention rate and expanding client relationships.

Instead of setting a single price for all ads, advertisers can automatically adjust how much they’re willing to pay based on dozens of factors. For example, paying more for users who have previously visited their website or for premium streaming TV content, and less for mobile banner ads or users unlikely to convert.

A hotel chain could bid 3x more for users who visited their booking page, 2x more during evening hours when conversion rates peak, and 50% less for mobile devices where booking completion is lower.

3. Koa (and Kokai) Artificial Intelligence

The Trade Desk’s AI system, Koa, represents a substantial R&D investment that enhances platform value while preserving the company’s philosophical commitment to transparency. Unlike black-box optimization systems, Koa provides actionable recommendations while maintaining advertiser control.

In their Q4 2024 earnings, they shared that Sulwhasoo, a skincare brand, used Kokai (built on Koa’s AI capabilities) to find potential customers who resembled their most loyal customers. The result? A 6x improvement in physical store visits, 380% improvement in conversion rates, and 80% lower cost per acquisition.

The 10-K indicates that Koa capabilities extend across “predictive clearing, ad impression relevance scoring, measurement and forecasting, budget optimization and key performance indicator scoring,” supporting numerous platform functions that drive client performance.

Koa’s machine learning capabilities create increasing returns to scale—as the platform processes more campaign data, its recommendations improve, attracting more spend which further enhances its capabilities.

4. Connected TV Platform

Connected TV represents The Trade Desk’s most significant growth vector, addressing the ongoing shift from linear television to streaming environments. The company has strategically prioritized CTV capabilities and inventory relationships, positioning itself at the forefront of this transformational shift in media.

The 10-K specifically highlights that “the demand for CTV inventory on our platform has been a significant driver of growth” and that the company plans to “continue investing significant resources in technology, sales and support staff related to our CTV growth initiatives.”

With traditional TV budgets migrating to streaming environments, The Trade Desk’s early leadership in programmatic CTV buying positions the company to capture substantial revenue growth. 

5. Unified ID 2.0

Unified ID 2.0 is an industry-wide identity solution that transforms email addresses or phone numbers into secure advertising identifiers. As third-party cookies deprecate across browsers, Unified ID 2.0 represents The Trade Desk’s strategic response to maintain addressability in digital advertising. Rather than using cookies (which are becoming obsolete), UID2 creates a more privacy-friendly way to remember who users are across websites, helping show relevant ads without revealing personal information.

The company showcases success stories like HP’s campaigns on Disney and Hulu, where UID2 allowed them to match customer data and segment audiences into specific groups, enabling better targeting and measurement of results.

This solution promises a consistent way to identify users across devices and browsers while prioritizing privacy, helping advertisers maintain effective targeting as third-party cookies disappear.

Yet industry practitioners offer a more tempered view. A director at a TV advertising agency revealed in a recent InPractise interview that “Despite its technical promise, UID 2.0 adoption is severely lagging, with limited scale in practice. Additionally, The Trade Desk charges premium rates when UID is used, further limiting its utility, particularly in CTV where adoption remains low.” This suggests a gap between the technology’s theoretical potential and its current real-world impact.

6. OpenPass

An independent single sign-on (SSO) solution for websites across the open internet.

Instead of creating accounts on every website, users can sign in once with OpenPass and have their preferences remembered across participating sites, making the experience better while providing a more reliable identity for advertisers.

Gives publishers control over authentication of their visitors and helps advertisers better understand the relevance of their ad impressions.

7. Data Management and Integration

With integrations to over 350 third-party data providers, The Trade Desk offers unparalleled audience targeting capabilities while maintaining client control of first-party data. The breadth of data available on their marketplace from numerous sources across channels gives clients a holistic view of their target audiences.

This extensive data ecosystem creates significant barriers to entry for competitors, as each integration represents substantial technical and business development investment. The ability to seamlessly incorporate both proprietary client data and third-party data sets enhances performance metrics that drive client retention.

8. OpenPath Supply Chain Solution

OpenPath represents The Trade Desk’s strategic initiative to disintermediate inefficient supply chain infrastructure, creating direct connections between publishers and advertisers. This approach increases transparency while potentially improving economics for both publishers and advertisers.

This initiative reinforces The Trade Desk’s positioning as an independent, buy-side focused platform working to improve market efficiency, in contrast to competitors with conflicting business models. It also strengthens relationships with premium publishers, potentially securing preferred access to high-value inventory.

The value from OpenPath, however, has largely been captured by Trade Desk alone. According to a recent InPractise interview with a director at a TV advertising agency, “While OpenPath theoretically creates direct connections between publishers and advertisers, the cost benefits aren’t materializing as expected. Analysis shows that spend going to publishers through Open Path is similar to open exchange rates, suggesting The Trade Desk is replacing SSPs but keeping the margin difference rather than passing savings to advertisers.” 

Conclusion: The Evolving Digital Advertising Landscape

As we’ve seen throughout this analysis, The Trade Desk has positioned itself at the center of a transformational shift in advertising. In a fragmented media landscape where consumers spread their attention across countless platforms, The Trade Desk provides the technological infrastructure that makes cross-channel advertising both possible and efficient.

The company’s buy-side focus, transparent business model, and technological capabilities have earned it a dominant position in the programmatic advertising ecosystem. Their platform approach—connecting advertisers to hundreds of inventory sources while maintaining a single interface and billing system—creates substantial value for agencies navigating increasing complexity.

However, as with any investment opportunity, there are nuances worth examining. Industry practitioners raise important questions about initiatives like OpenPath and Unified ID 2.0, suggesting that the real-world execution may not yet match the vision. Additionally, as budgets shift toward CTV, margin pressures and platform competition could impact future growth.

This marks the end of our first deep-dive into The Trade Desk. In Part 2, I’ll be analyzing several critical aspects that will determine whether The Trade Desk represents a compelling investment opportunity:

  • Jeff Green’s leadership as the key driving force behind the company
  • The impact of the company’s high stock-based compensation on shareholder returns
  • A comprehensive look at financials and valuation metrics
  • An examination of the competitive risks and threats from both established and emerging players
  • The factors behind the stock’s recent 60% decline and what it means for potential investors

Part 2 will be exclusively available to Steady Compounding Insider Stocks members next Friday. If you’d like to get access to my complete analysis on The Trade Desk and detailed research on other high-quality compounding stocks, consider joining Steady Compounding Insider Stocks today: https://steadycompounding.com/membership/

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